OMNI IRAN
NEWSLETTER # 21, December 14, 2012, COMPILED BY DICK BENNETT FOR A CULTURE OF PEACE (#11 Oct. 8,
2011; #12 Jan. 31, 2012; #13 Feb. 22, 2012; #14 Feb. 26, 2012; #15 March 17,
2012; #16 April 12, 2012; #17 May 21, 2012; #18, July 9, 2012; #19 August 13,
2012; #20 Sept. 10, 2012).
Here is the link to all the newsletters archived in
the OMNI web site.
http://www.omnicenter.org/newsletter-archive/ These newsletters offer information that
enables us to examine morality and judgment of our leaders and their policies,
of power. Here is the link to the Index: http://www.omnicenter.org/omni-newsletter-general-index/
STOP THE ATTACK ON IRAN . Iran
presents no threat to the US
or Israel . Threatening Iran with bombs or embargo violates
the UN Charter. No peacemaking is as
important as opposing and trying to prevent unjust war. Speak up, write, call, donate, don’t give up
on reason and diplomacy; don’t let the fear/warmongers control us.
Contents Nos. 13-17 at end.
Contents of #18
Petition Not to
Attack
Pledge of
Resistance
Abrahamian, The
1953 CIA Coup
Cumings, et al., Inventing the Axis of Evil
Special Section: Frank Brodhead , Iran
War Weekly
Contents #19
Froomkin,
Iraq-Iran Alliance
Greenwald, Blaming
Contents #20
NYT Fails to Report Call
Non-nuclear
Option
Credo: Tell Obama
Frank Brodhead’s
Weekly Continued, August 19
Brodhead’s
Weekly, September 10, 2012
Veterans for
Peace
Chomsky on
US/Israeli Threat
Contents #21
Wall Street Journal Retracts Its Falsehood
Peace Video: Iran and Israel
Leverett,
Misunderstanding Iran
Pro-Israel Meet
the Press
Lendman, An
Alternative History
The Wall Street Journal issued a rare, formal correction to its op-ed setting a deadline for the "crippling" of
http://www.iranfact.org/niac-tell-the-wall-street-journal-to-stop-distorting-facts-to-sell-war/
"We Love You - Iran and Israel "
If you've been to
PEACE PLEASE in the last while you'll have seen the video
running on our home page by Ronnie Edry, an Israeli and founder of the movement "We
Love You - Iran and Israel ".
Edry posted this video of friendship to the people of Iran on YouTube and within 24 hours
his message had been passed along and shared by thousands. People in Iran responded, sending messages of peace and
friendship back to the people of Israel . http://www.peaceplease.com/
Jim Morrison of
The Doors once sang in the song 'Five to One', "They got the guns, but we
got the numbers" - this "We Love You" campaign proves the point.
Tens of thousands of people from around the world have added their name to this
campaign, in hopes that we the people can stop yet another war in the Middle East .
Join up with the
movement on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/israellovesiran
and be part of the majority for peace.
Forthcoming Book by Flynt Leverett and Hillary Leverett, Going to Tehran : Why the United
States Must Come to Terms with the Islamic Republic of Iran .
Their latest publication on Iran :
“The Mad Mullah Myth: The Dangers of Misunderstanding Iran’s Strategy,” Harper’s Magazine (Nov. 2012).
A few earlier publications by the Leveretts:
Sep 9, 2012 – Video of the
Leveretts on Charlie Rose Flynt Leverett and
Hillary Mann Leverett appeared on The
Charlie Rose Show. Subscribe by RSS ...
Jul 4, 2012 – –Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett. Share.
Email ...... http://rehmat1.com/ 2012/07/11/egypt-and-the-myth-of-arab-spring/ · Castellio says: ...
Apr 6, 2012 – –Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett. Share.
Email ...... Clearly these are not the words of a “mad mullah” (as the warmongers like to say).
Aug 15, 2012 – Video of
the Leveretts on Charlie Rose Flynt Leverett and
Hillary Mann Leverett appeared on The
Charlie Rose Show. Subscribe by RSS ...
Jan 12, 2012 – Read what Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett had to
say about ... of the U.S.
sanctions, the most fundamental aim of the mullah's regime, ...
Feb 23, 2011 – Hillary Mann
Leverett teaches international affairs at
Yale and American
University . ..... MEK rhetoric in which everyone is an "agent of the Mullahs" except for the MEK. .... Mad Dog Qaddafi is making Human rights excuse to occupy his ..... The Myth That Screwed Up 50 Years of U.S.
Foreign Policy · Murder ...
Jun 14, 2010 – Hillary Mann
Leverett is CEO of Stratega, a political-risk
consultancy. ... Once you deal with religious extremists of the Taliban caliber, MAD does not apply. .... But the Leveretts' drivel isn't just
the usual garbage about "the mullahs. .... about the
truth as opposed to the concocted myth about the "evil" Iran .
And look. it's the old 'Mad Mullah' dodge, too…! Despite ..... As Flynt
Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett asked
today at their The Race For Iran blog… Can The ...
www.campaigniran.org/casmii/index.php?q=node&page=75...
WHY THE MYTH OF IRAN 'S
“STOLEN” ELECTION STILL MATTERS. by Flynt
Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett on Sep 7 .... weapons program, and the Iranian Mullahs have issued repeated assurances that
it has no intention to start one, but we are suspicious. ... 'Mad Dog' Diplomacy: A cornered Israel
is baring its teeth ...
WHY THE MYTH OF IRAN 'S
“STOLEN” ELECTION STILL MATTERS. by Flynt
Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett on Sep 7 .... weapons program, and the Iranian Mullahs have issued repeated assurances that
it has no intention to start one, but we are suspicious. ... 'Mad Dog' Diplomacy: A cornered Israel
is baring its teeth ...
*Action: JFP/NIAC: Tell Meet the Press: Real Journalism Requires Challenging
False Information on Iran
On Sunday, Meet the Press allowed Netanyahu to give his stump speech for war on the Iran
nuclear issue, without challenging his scaremongering with reference to known
facts. Just Foreign Policy and the National Iranian American Council are
teaming up to challenge pro-war distortions in the mainstream media with our
"Iran Fact Check" campaign. Our first target: Meet the Press. Tell Meet the Press: real journalism requires challenging politicians
when they spew false information on Iran .
http://www.iranfact.org/tell-mtp-challenge-false-information-on-iran/
Neocons Slither Back
Maureen Dowd, New York Times, September 15, 2012
Neocon puppet master" Dan Senor is now
driving the foreign policy agenda of Romney and Ryan, writes Maureen Dowd in the New York Times. A
moral, muscular foreign policy; a disdain for weakness and diplomacy; a duty to
invade and bomb Israel 's
neighbors; a divine right to pre-emption - it's all ominously familiar. You can
draw a direct line from the hyperpower manifesto of the Project for the New American Century, which the neocons used to
prod an uninformed president into invading Iraq - a wildly misguided attempt
to intimidate Arabs through the shock of overwhelming force, Dowd writes.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iran/9545597/Armada-of-international-naval-power-massing-in-the-Gulf-as-Israel-prepares-an-Iran-strike.html
http://www.beaconequity.com/former-state-dept-veteran-drops-bombshell-wwiii-starts-sept-25-2012-09-18/#ixzz26pTR4pEV
ALTERNATIVE HISTORY OF MODERN IRAN
http://www.beaconequity.com/former-state-dept-veteran-drops-bombshell-wwiii-starts-sept-25-2012-09-18/#ixzz26pTR4pEV
ALTERNATIVE HISTORY OF MODERN IRAN
Long Knives Target
By Stephen Lendman 9-22-12 |
|
|
February 11, 2012 marked the 33rd anniversary of
In 1953, CIA operative Kermit Roosevelt, Theodore Roosevelt's grandson and As late as 1977, Jimmy Carter declared In 1975, Journalist/historian Dilip Hiro noted: "According to the Iranian president, Bani-Sadr, in early August 1980 his government had purchased secret documents containing a detailed account of the conversations in France between several deposed Iranian generals and politicians, Iraqi representatives, and American and Israeli military experts." "If so, the administration of President James Carter had an inkling of Iraqi plans. By supplying secret information, which exaggerated Saddam was supported by CIA-sponsored Iranian military officers given refuge in Saddam saw his chance to wage war and win. He hoped to defeat a regional rival, annex parts of According to columnist Jack Anderson, he considered invading Carter abandoned his plans. At the same time, his administration remained hostile to Ayatollah Khomeini's government. Reagan escalated Carter policies short of committing US forces in combat. Saddam got US backing. Support for the Shah was a key element of On September 22, 1980, Saddam hoped it would be a "whirlwind war." He renamed it Qadisiyyad Saddam. It was an emotive reference to Arabs defeating Persians in 636. On September 21, Press TV headlined " Ceremonies opened "Sacred Defense Week." They began symbolically at Ayatollah Khomeini's Commemorating the occasion, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad delivered a nationally televised address, saying: "Our sacred defense was not defending a territory, a nation or a school of thought alone. It was well beyond that. It was defending human dignity, the rights of all nations and those of the oppressed people of the world." He and Ayatollah Khamenei days earlier noted Western hypocrisy. Condemn Washington, other NATO allies, or Israeli crimes and be denounced. At the same time, insulting Islam is called free expression. He criticized nations backing Saddam's invasion. They revealed their imperial regional aims. They're also fake human rights advocates. They say one thing and do another. Scoundrels operate that way. Iranian officials turned out in force. High-ranking military ones were present. Called Raad, or Thunder, it's more advanced than its Russian predecessor. It's designed to confront jet aircraft, cruise missiles, smart bombs, helicopters, and drones. Its capability ranges up to 30 miles. It can strike targets high as 75,000 feet. It's a formidable defense against attack. "Sacred Defense Week" commemorates Western and Israeli long knives remain threatening. Tensions are especially high. Netanyahu's bluster aside, longstanding Fear is generated. Other false charges follow. Potentially catastrophic consequences are ignored. Apparently, so is opposition expressed by current and past high-ranking military and government officials in both countries. Updated war plans are ready to be implemented unless cooler heads go all out to prevent it. On September 20, Haaretz reported the latest outburst. It headlined "US warns This time UN envoy Susan Rice issued the warning. She gives diplomacy a bad name. She's one of Addressing the Security Council, she said: "We believe there is still time and space for diplomacy," but not much. "(T)he onus is on Her comments were a clear warning. At the same time, she and other Nonetheless, warnings persist. This one comes as This one is codenamed IMCMEX-12. It involves minesweeping and other measures to keep the Strait of Hormuz open if In September, So do Israelis wanting no part of war. A mid-August Haaretz article headlined "We'll all pay on doomsday," saying: Attacking Iran is madness. It means sharply higher oil prices, deeper global recession, and The Bank of Israel and Finance Ministry predict attacking World condemnation will follow. Countries, companies, labor organizations, and consumer groups already boycott When "rockets fall on Tel Aviv," expect investors to flee. Financial assets will suffer. Tax revenues will drop. Deficits will rise. Israelis will be fearful. They'll hunker down. Normal activities will be curtailed. Business will suffer. Tourists won't come. International airlines will cancel flights. Ports will be "paralyzed." The shekel will drop sharply. Inflation will rise. Goods will become scarce. The only good news is that unaffordable housing prices will fall. Who'll buy property vulnerable to destruction? Haaretz omitted what's most important. How many millions of Iranian and Israeli lives will be lost? Bombing nuclear facilities in both countries assures widespread irradiation. Immediate casualties will be huge in both countries. Longer-term ones will be catastrophically high. War on Haaretz is right saying "We'll all pay on doomsday." Assuring it doesn't happen is the only sensible policy. It's not rocket science. It's common sense. Stephen Lendman lives in His new book is titled "How Wall Street Fleeces America: Privatized Banking, Government Collusion and Class War" http://www.claritypress.com/Lendman.html Visit his blog site at sjlendman.blogspot.com and listen to cutting-edge discussions with distinguished guests on the Progressive Radio News Hour on the Progressive Radio Network Thursdays at 10AM US Central time and Saturdays and Sundays at noon. All programs are archived for easy listening. http://www.progressiveradionetwork.com/the-progressive-news-hour |
haw-info-bounces@stopthewars.org on behalf of fbrodhead@aol.com
Attachments:
Wednesday, December 12, 2012 9:52 PM
Historians Against the
War is posting Frank Brodhead's "Iran War Weekly,' as a helpful resource for our members and
friends. Frank earned a PhD in history at Princeton
University and has co-authored several
books on US
foreign policy. He is a scholar and political activist who has worked with
peace and social justice movements for many years. In 2010-2011 he produced the
“Afghanistan
War Weekly,” which was widely used by antiwar groups across the country.
December 12, 2012
Hello All – With
the US election behind us, the next round of negotiations
about Iran ’s
nuclear program begins. On
Saturday, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will convene in
Tehran, where Iran’s failures to comply with IAEA requests and UN Security
Council demands will be the focus of discussion. Shortly after the New Year, the
other arena of negotiations, the negotiations that involve the P5+1 (the five
permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany ) are expected to
resume. These negotiations, which were broken off late last summer as the US election approached, pit demands from the
P5+1 that Iran
essentially cease its nuclear program against Iranian claims that it has the
right to develop nuclear power under the terms of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty. I’ve linked
good/useful reading below relevant to both sets of negotiations.
Over the past 10
days there have been some
important developments that impact both sets of negotiations. A US spokesperson stated that Iran has until
March to comply with the demands of the P5+1, though the consequences of a
failure to comply were not specified. But
with Iran ’s presidential
election taking place in June, it is apparent that there is only a narrow
negotiating window before the presidential election in Iran – as was the case with the US presidential election – precludes serious
negotiations on Iran ’s
nuclear program. As for the
IAEA negotiations this Saturday, blowback from the Israeli-instigated media hoax regarding Iran’s alleged
weapons-related studies more than a decade ago may have undermined the IAEA’s
ability to press Iran on these issues. Readings linked below
will, I hope, clarify some of these complexities.
I’ve also linked
below more accounts of the impact
of the economic sanctions against Iran . The Obama administration
is attempting to water down the sanctions legislation now making its way
through Congress, fearing that it will make negotiations with Iran more
difficult. In the eyes of
many in Congress, of course, this is the purpose of the sanctions legislation.
Other topics
covered in the good/useful readings linked below include an interesting essay
by a former Iranian nuclear negotiator on why
Iran doesn’t want nuclear weapons; more
analysis on the US cancellation of scheduled talks on a nuclear free zone in the Middle
East (at the behest of
Israel); Israel’s rejection of a resolution by the UN General Assembly calling
on it to join the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty; and several articles on significant changes in the world’s oil
supply.
From the
beginning, it has appeared that the US intervention
in the Syrian uprising/civil war was
motivated largely by the possibility that regime change in Syria would weaken Iran . Indeed, it is hard to imagine the
current Syrian regime surviving indefinitely, or to see Syria as a very useful ally to Iran
anymore. By the same token, however, the greater involvement of the United
States in Syria –having now recognized the legitimacy of the newly formed
opposition coalition and having participated in the restructuring of the Syrian
armed opposition – may mean
that it is the United States, not Iran, that will be bogged down in an
irresolvable conflict that is
increasingly beyond the ability of the United States to control. In addition to the good/useful reading
linked below about Syria, I recommend the websites of Syria Comment (www.syriacomment.org), War in Context (www.warincontext.org), and Aljazeera (www.aljazeera.com) to keep up to date on events in Syria.
A new book by David Patrikarakos, Nuclear Iran: The Birth of an
Atomic State, provides
readers interested in this subject with a useful and insightful overview, from
the birth of Iran ’s
nuclear program under that Shah in the 1970s to the present. While Patrikarakos’ presentation of
the events of the last decade is not as good as the more-developed accounts in
books by Sayed Hossein Mousavian, Mohammed El-Baradei, or Trita Parsi, it is a
good, not-too-long introduction to Iran ’s nuclear program.
Once again, I
appreciate the help that many of you have given in distributing the Iran War Weekly and/or linking it on
websites. Previous “issues”
of the IWW can be read at http://warisacrime.org/blog/46383. If you would like to receive the IWW
mailings, please send me an email at fbrodhead@aol.com.
Best wishes,
Frank Brodhead
Concerned
Families of Westchester (NY)
OVERVIEWS/THE
BIG PICTURE
Ten Reasons Iran Doesn't
Want the Bomb
By Seyed Hossein
Mousavian, National Interest [December 4, 2012]
[FB – Mousavian was formerly an
Iranian diplomat, and is now at Princeton . His recent book, The Iranian Nuclear Crisis: A
Memoir, is an important
resource in understanding the dynamics of the Iranian nuclear issues.]
---- Since the
beginning of Iran ’s nuclear
crisis, the West has been convinced that one approach offers the best hope of
altering Tehran ’s
nuclear policy and halting its enrichment activities: comprehensive
international sanctions and a credible threat of military strike. During the
same period, I have repeatedly warned my friends in the West that such punitive
pressures, no matter how severe, will not change the Iranian leadership’s
mindset, and that a military option would be catastrophic for Iran , the
region and beyond. Almost a decade has passed and the unrelenting Western
pressures applied on Iran
have not achieved the objectives they set. Instead, they have resulted in Iran having an
expanded and more sophisticated nuclear program. It is time for the West to
acknowledge these realities. The question that remains is whether Iran ultimately
aims to get a nuclear weapon. If Iran isn’t after the bomb, then the
Western accusations and concerns would be reduced enough to allow a diplomatic
solution. The following reasons aim to strengthen the case for why Iran is not
after a nuclear bomb. http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/ten-reasons-iran-doesnt-want-the-bomb-7802
The Iranian
Nuclear Threat
By Karim
Sadjadpour and George Perkovich, Carnegie
Endowment [November 29, 2012]
---- The United
States and the rest of the P5+1 must decide whether they are prepared to offer
Iran incentives that would be sufficient to induce it to compromise, and what a
potential U.S.-Iran nuclear breakthrough might look like. The practical
question, then, is what specific commitments could be negotiated, verified, and
enforced to keep Iran far enough away from having a nuclear weapon that the
world would have confidence it could detect an Iranian breakout and mobilize an
appropriately robust response, and at the same time allow Iran to exercise its
“right” to enrich for purely civilian purposes.
Why Obama’s
Version of ‘Engagement’ Has Failed
By Pepe Escobar, Tom Dispatch [December 6, 2012]
By Pepe Escobar, Tom Dispatch [December 6, 2012]
[FB – The second half of this
interesting essay puts US-Iranian issues into an Asian context, which is
important as both countries see themselves as increasingly turning East.]
---- Will Obama
2.0 finally admit that Washington doesn’t need
regime change in Tehran
to improve its relationship with that country? Only with such an admission (to
itself, if not the world) are real negotiations leading to a Wall of
Mistrust-blasting deal possible. This would undoubtedly include a genuine
détente, an acceptance of Iran’s lawful pursuit of a peaceful nuclear program,
guarantees that the result would not be a covert weapons project, and a turning
away from the possibility of a devastating war in the Persian Gulf and the oil
heartlands of the Greater Middle East. Theoretically, it could also include
something else: an Obama “Nixon in China ”
moment, a dramatic journey or gesture by the U.S. president to decisively break
the deadlock. Yet as long as a barrage of furiously misinformed anti-Iran
hawks in Washington, in lockstep with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s
Israeli government, deploy a relentless PR offensive burning with incendiary
rhetoric, “red lines,” deadlines, and preemptive sabotage of the P5+1
negotiations, such a moment, such a gesture, will remain the faintest of
dreams.
NEGOTIATIONS
ABOUT IRAN ’S
NUCLEAR PROGRAM
P5+1 to
propose new meeting dates to Iran
By Laura Rozen, Al-Monitor [December 10, 2012]
---- Diplomats
from six world powers, following further unpublicized consultations in recent
days, have decided to propose to Iran dates for holding a new round
of nuclear talks as early as this month, diplomatic sources told Al-Monitor
Monday. However, a meeting is not expected to materialize before January, they
said. Diplomats from five of the six nations in the so-called P5+1 also agreed
in their latest consultation to “update” the package presented to Iran at a
meeting in Baghdad last May, the diplomatic sources said, although they
downplayed expectations for major changes to the package. In addition, one
country, believed to be Russia ,
had not yet formally signed on to that decision, one expert briefed by the US
administration told Al-Monitor Monday, adding that it was his understanding the
dissenting nation wanted a more revamped, generous package. That position is
apparently now at odds with the consensus of other members of the international
negotiating group, comprised of the United States ,
United Kingdom , France , Germany ,
China and Russia .http://backchannel.al-monitor.com/index.php/2012/12/3437/p51-to-propose-new-meeting-dates-to-iran/#ixzz2En4cZvok
Three Worries
About Next Iran
Talks
By Trita Parsi, Al-Monitor [December 10, 2012]
---- Sometime in
the next few weeks, the permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany (P5+1) will meet with Iran to pick up
diplomacy from where it left off last summer. So far, neither side has shown
much appetite for compromise. Both sides have insisted on maximalist
objectives; consequently, progress has been absent. This time around it might
be different. Fabricated or not, there is a sense that the end game is near.
The window for this breakthrough likely closes by March of next year as Iran enters its
New Year festivities followed by its paralyzing presidential
elections. But there are three things that worry me, that can cause the
parties to lose yet another opportunity for peace. http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2012/al-monitor/three-worries-about-the-next-ira.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter#ixzz2En4vC9lU
The November
2012 IAEA Report on Iran
and Its Implications
[FB – This week’s talks between the
IAEA and Iran
will be focused on the concerns raised in this, the latest IAEA report.]
The Middle East NFZ Meeting Postponed
Zoning Out in
the Middle East
By Paul R.
Pillar, The National Interest [December 6, 2012]
---- This was
supposed to be the month for an international conference to discuss a possible
weapons of mass destruction-free zone in the Middle East .
The concept of such a zone has been addressed in past review conferences of the
nuclear nonproliferation treaty (NPT), sessions of the United Nations General
Assembly, and meetings at the International Atomic Energy Agency Postponing the conference was a missed
opportunity. As one of the convening powers, the United States , along with its
British and Russian partners, could have simply gone ahead and convened the
conference as scheduled. Israel
could decide whether or not it would attend. The conference would be better
with Israeli attendance, but could still do some good even without it.
Meanwhile, refusal to talk about any of these matters does not make the issue
go away. http://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/zoning-out-the-middle-east-7823
WMD-Free Middle East Proposal at a Glance
Also useful – Kelsey Davenport and Daniel Horner, “Meeting on Middle
East WMD Postponed,” Arms
Control Today [December 2012] http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2012_12/Meeting-on-Middle-East-WMD-Postponed;
Linda Pearson, “Wikileaks Reveals US, Israel Lies On Iran,” ZNet [December 7, 2012]http://www.zcommunications.org/wikileaks-reveals-us-israel-lies-on-iran-by-linda-pearson;
and Paul Ingram, “A view on what is coming up in the nuclear world,” BASIC (British American Security Information
Council) [November 26, 2012] http://us4.campaign-archive2.com/?u=21bea84f309ed51fc9fbf7e94&id=a53d189c5f&e=ab26b1b6ce
The AP Hoax/Leak
By Julian
Borger, The Guardian [UK ] [December 10, 2012]
---- Israel is suspected of carrying out a series of
leaks implicating Iran in
nuclear weapons experiments in an attempt to raise international pressure on Tehran and halt its
programme. Western diplomats believe the leaks may have backfired, compromising
a UN-sanctioned investigation into Iran 's past nuclear activities and
current aspirations. The latest leak, published by the Associated Press (AP),
purported to be an Iranian diagram showing the physics of a nuclear blast, but
scientists quickly pointed out an elementary mistake that cast doubt on its
significance and authenticity. An article in the Bulletin of the Atomic
Scientists declared: "This diagram does nothing more than indicate either
slipshod analysis or an amateurish hoax." The leaked diagram raised
questions about an investigation being carried out by International Atomic
Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors after it emerged that it formed part of a file
of intelligence on alleged Iranian nuclear weapons work held by the agency. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/dec/10/israel-suspected-iran-nuclear-programme-leaks
Also useful – Jason Ditz, “Israel Seen Behind AP’s Iran ‘Nuclear Graph’
Hoax,” Antiwar.com [December 10, 2012] http://news.antiwar.com/2012/12/10/israel-seen-behind-aps-iran-nuclear-graph-hoax/;
and Julian Borger, “Iran's nuclear programme: the holy grail of the
intelligence world,” The
Guardian [UK] [December 10,
2012] http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/dec/10/iran-nuclear-programme-holy-grail
Obama Pledges
Push to Resume Iran
Talks
By Kelsey
Davenport, Arms Control Today [December 2012]
[FB – This is a good overview of the
recent US
positions in the Iranian nuclear negotiations and sanctions regimes, as well as
some perspective on what’s coming down the road.]
---- President
Barack Obama said last month that he would “try to make a push in the coming
months” to resume talks with Iran
over its controversial nuclear program, but did not specify when negotiations
were likely to resume. … In December, the Obama administration will have to
decide whether to renew waivers that allow nine countries to continue importing
oil from Iran .
Under a provision of the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2012,
these countries were granted exemptions in June that allow them to continue
purchasing Iranian oil without penalty after demonstrating that they
“significantly reduced” the volume of such imports. However, the law stipulates
that the waivers must be renewed every 180 days, during which the country must
demonstrate again that it reduced its imports. The waivers for four of Iran’s
top oil importers—China, South Korea, India, and Turkey—all will expire before
the end of the year if the administration does not grant renewals. The United States renewed the waivers for Japan and 10
European countries on Sept. 14. http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2012_12/Obama-Pledges-Push-to-Resume-Iran-Talks
Has the US Set a March Deadline for War on Iran ?
By John Glaser, Antiwar.com [December 5, 2012]
---- Last month
the US issued an ultimatum
to Iran ,
demanding it fully cooperate with the IAEA by March or else face further action
and possible measures at the UN Security Council. Micah Zenko, fellow at the
Council on Foreign Relations, speculates that this “could indicate that the
Obama administration is moving toward the zone of immunity logic.” Zenko is
referring to the Israeli standard for deciding to go to war with Iran . Up to
now, the Israeli standard to attack Iran
is not when it has nuclear weapons or presents an imminent threat to Israel , but rather when Iran ’s nuclear
program is sufficiently advanced and redundant across the country – although
not being weaponized – that Israeli military action would be inadequate to
significantly retard it. The US
standard, at least as commonly understood, has been a little stricter. Washington has implied it will resort to war only if Iran is
demonstrably weaponizing its nuclear program and on the verge of having a
nuclear bomb. Despite the semantic differences, the two postures are
essentially the same. http://antiwar.com/blog/2012/12/05/has-the-us-set-a-march-deadline-for-war-on-iran/
See also – Micah Zenko, “Did the United
States just set a March deadline for war with Iran ?” Foreign Policy [December 4, 2012] http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/12/04/final_countdown?page=0,0
IRANIAN
POLICIES AND PERSPECTIVES
By Richard Javad
Heydarian, Lobe Log [December 5, 2012]
---- A key
foreign policy consequence of President Barak Obama’s reelection is the growing
possibility of face-to-face talks between the United States . and Iran . Both the
US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Iran’s Foreign Minister Ali Akbar
Salehi have expressed, albeit conditionally, their respective governments’
openness to engage in comprehensive bilateral talks — for the first time in
almost three decades — to primarily resolve the ongoing nuclear standoff. In
some ways, it is Iran ’s
relative resilience — and ability to avoid a total collapse — that may
explain its willingness to explore direct talks with Washington . Tehran feels that it has enough wiggle room
to avoid total unilateral concessions and negotiate a more mutually-favorable,
face-saving outcome — perhaps, before it’s tool late. http://www.lobelog.com/iran-shows-signs-of-resilience-ahead-of-potential-bilateral-talks/
Also useful – Abdul Rasheed Azad, “Pakistan
and Iran
likely to sign pact on gas pipeline,” [December
6, 2012] http://www.brecorder.com/fuel-a-energy/193/1264775/
“The Fatwa”
[FB – An academic list serve that
focuses on the Gulf had an active discussion this week about whether or not
there was a Fatwa from Ayatollah Khamenei that forbade nuclear weapons, whether
it was written or oral, and whether it meant anything. Mousavian (article above) includes the
Fatwa as one of the reasons why he thinks that Iran doesn’t want a nuclear
weapon. Though it doesn’t
answer all the questions, here is a link to a letter submitted by Iran to the
IAEA in 2005 asserting that there was such a Fatwa, and that it forbade the
production, etc. of nuclear weapons.]
---- “The Leader
of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has issued the fatwa
that the production, stockpiling, and use of nuclear weapons are forbidden
under Islam and that the Islamic Republic of Iran shall never acquire these
weapons. President Mahmud Ahmadinejad, who took office just recently, in his
inaugural address reiterated that his government is against weapons of mass
destruction and will only pursue nuclear activities in the peaceful domain.” http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/iran/nuke/mehr080905.html
ISRAELI
POLICIES AND PERSPECTIVES
By John Glaser, Antiwar.com [December 5, 2012]
---- Israel on
Tuesday dismissed a United Nations resolution calling on it to adhere to the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and open its nuclear program to international
inspections. Israeli Foreign Ministry spokesman Yigal Palmor said Israel rejects the overwhelming global consensus
that Israel
allow the IAEA to inspect its nuclear facilities and to recommit to the NPT,
describing it as a “meaningless mechanical vote.” The resolution was approved
on Monday by a vote of 174-6 with 6 abstentions and calls on Israel to join
the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty immediately and open its nuclear facilities
to inspection by the International Atomic Energy Agency. It also offered
support for a high-level conference to ban nuclear weapons from the Middle
East which was just canceled by the US and Israel, in order to protect Israel’s
regional nuclear monopoly. http://news.antiwar.com/2012/12/05/israel-rejects-un-call-to-open-nuke-program-to-inspections/
March as a
key month for Iran ’s
nuclear program
By Jasmin
Ramsey, Lobe Log [December 5, 2012]
MILITARY
MANEUVERING
By Jim Wolf, Reuters [December 7, 2012]
---- An internal
report for the U.S. Congress has concluded that Iran probably is no longer on
track, if it ever was, to having an ocean-crossing missile as soon as 2015. The
study casts doubt on a view long held by U.S. intelligence agencies that Iran
could be able to test-fly by 2015 an intercontinental ballistic missile, or
ICBM, if it receives "sufficient foreign assistance." http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/sns-rt-us-iran-usa-missilebre8b61c9-20121207,0,1731493.story
SANCTIONS
[FB –
There are now UN sanctions, US sanctions, and EU sanctions. Some US sanctions date back to the
1979 hostage crisis, but many have been passed in the last few years and have
been drafted primarily by AIPAC. A
new round of sanctions is now nearing passage in Congress. They are in part a de facto effort by
Congress to prevent the Obama administration from successfully negotiating with
Iran, which would interfere with the much-desired military attack (or a
pre-emptive Iranian abject surrender, I suppose). For that reason, the Obama
people are attempting to limit the scope and increase the President’s
flexibility re: the current legislation.]
Weighing
Benefits and Costs of International Sanctions Against Iran
From The Iran Project [December 3, 2012] – 46 pages
[FB - In September the Iran Project
issued a similar report on “The Costs and Benefits of a War Against
Iran.” Both reports are
signed on to by a long list of Establishment foreign policy figures.
Administration
Pushes For Lighter Iran
Sanctions In Legislative Fight
By Rosie Gray, BuzzFeed [December 10, 2012]
---- The Obama
administration is requesting a number of changes to congressional sanctions on Iran that would
make the sanctions less strict, according to a redlined version of the
legislation sent to the Armed Services Committees of the House and Senate. The
document, provided to BuzzFeed by a Democratic source who is privy to the
negotiations, proposes a number of alterations to a package aimed at raising
the pressure on Iran
to abandon a nuclear program most American observers believe is aimed at
building a weapon. The administration's changes would include waiting 180 days
for the sanctions to take effect, as opposed to the 90 days as passed by the
Senate. http://www.buzzfeed.com/rosiegray/administration-pushes-for-lighter-iran-sanctions-i
Also useful – Barbara Slavin, “Nuclear Deal with Iran May Hinge On
European Sanctions Relief,” Al-Monitor [December 6, 2012] http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2012/al-monitor/nuclear-deal-with-iran-may-hinge.html#ixzz2EmnZL5jQ;
Mehrnaz Shahabi, “The Impact of Sanctions on Iranian Society and Artists,” Fair Observer [UK] [December 12, 2012] http://www.campaigniran.org/casmii/index.php?q=node/13077;
and Jeff Nygaard, “’Mis-Steps’ and ‘Backlash’: Looking at Anti-Iran
Propaganda,”Counterpunch [December
11, 2012] http://www.counterpunch.org/2012/12/11/looking-at-anti-iran-propaganda/
OIL AND ENERGY
By Stephen M.
Walt, Foreign Policy [December 5, 2012]
---- The Gulf
states' interest in keeping oil prices high enough to balance their own
budgets, in a period where heightened social spending and other measures are
being used to insulate these regimes from the impact of the Arab Spring.
According to the IMF, these states need crude prices to remain upwards of $80 a
barrel in order to keep their fiscal house in order. Which in turn means
that Saudi Arabia et al also have an interest in keeping Iran in the doghouse,
so that Iran can't attract foreign companies to refurbish and expand its oil
and gas fields and so that it has even more trouble marketing its petroleum on
global markets.http://walt.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/12/05/oil_iran_and_stability_in_the_gulf
Also useful – Barbara Slavin, “NIC Predicts Water Shortage, Oil Glut for
Iran in 2030,” Al-Monitor[December
10, 2012] http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2012/al-monitor/nic-iran-water-oil.html#ixzz2EhtxCize;
and (Audio) “Can the World Live Without Iranian Oil?”
A discussion with Sara Vakhshouri and Denise Natali, Atlantic Council [December 5, 2012]
What About
Solar and Wind?
[FB – While nuclear power might have
seemed like a good idea when the Shah got it going 40 years ago, the program’s
inertia has carried it into an era when nuclear power is increasingly looked at
as a dinosaur technology that makes no sense. It was interesting, therefore, to see
this article by Robert Kennedy on the Aljazeera site this week. It turns out Iran is ideal for
solar power; check outhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_power_stations_in_Iran#Solar.]
Contents of #13
Armageddon
US Weapons Ring Iran
Books by Trita Parsi
Weasel Words for War
Contents of #14
Beinart, Crazy Rush to War
Rabbi Lerner’s Ad
Provoking War, the “Northwoods” Ploy
Tomgram, From WWI to Iran , Hochschild on WWI
Contents of #15
Diplomacy not Bombs: Make your Voice Heard
Contribute to Ad in New
York Times
Swanson, Contact
Obama
Council for a Livable World
Misleading Corporate Media Coverage of Iran
Reporting Iran
vs. Honduras
Dick, Connection with Climate Change
Chomsky
Contents of #16
All Threat from
US, Israel ,
and West
Schell, All
Nuclear Powers Abolish Nuclear Weapons
Speak to Congress
Art’s Column
Obama May
Surprise Us?
WRL Pledge of
Resistance
Nuclear
Scientists Murdered (2)
Our Taxes to
Militarism and Wars
Contents of #17
Breaking News: Conyers Amendment Passes
Just Foreign
Policy News: Two Articles Against Inflammatory Media and for Negotiation
2006: Iran
Preparing Defenses
2012: Amitabh Pal
vs. Bombing Iran
Limbert, Negotiating with Iran
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